Rolls-Royce, easyJet, Heathrow, and University College London
Air Transportation
Systems Lab (UCL ATSLab) published a report highlighting how hydrogen-powered aircraft could enable European and UK
aviation to cut carbon emissions while supporting future growth.
The study, Enabling Hydrogen in the European Aviation Market, found that hydrogen in aviation offers a
unique
opportunity to achieve both emissions reduction and market expansion. The analysis shows that introducing hydrogen
alongside Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) can accelerate progress towards net zero, particularly when policy
incentives reward low-carbon fuels and if hydrogen were to be included within the EU’s SAF mandate1.
The research also found that targeted hydrogen infrastructure at around 20 major European airports, including
Heathrow, could deliver more than 80% of the emissions benefits of full hydrogen availability across the continent.
Concentrating investment at key ‘hydrogen hubs’ would therefore provide a practical and cost-effective path to early
adoption.
Further modelling indicates that the earlier novel technologies, such as hydrogen, can be introduced, the more
opportunity they present for CO2 emission reductions, underscoring the value of early technological transition where
it
is financially and technically viable.
The study is underpinned by UCL ATSLab’s Airline Behaviour Model (ABM), which represents the complexity of airline
decision-making through specific behavioural variables. Building on this, the research evaluates how fuel costs,
incentives and new technologies shape airline responses. This provides a research-based, realistic picture of how
hydrogen adoption could evolve, highlighting both opportunities and potential challenges for adoption.